Currently most of the central Wasatch is sitting at around 60-65% of normal (Snow water equivalent) with slightly higher amounts in the northern tip of the State. Some areas While it’s been nothing stellar the season, several double digit dumps in the past month have really helped bring decent conditions to many areas especially the upper elevations of Park City, Cottonwoods, and further north towards Snowbasin.
As a storm chaser, I would say “its game on” for Utah right now especially by late this weekend.
Just one more deep dump should be a game changer especially if they grab some heavier density snowfall. The previous 2 dumps were blower pow so did not contribute quite as well to burying the some remaining bones at the summits of some ski areas
Some good news will be flying this weekend around Utah as the new system currently moving into the Sierra (3-5 feet) will approach northern Utah by Friday morning. Models are consistent in timing, with snow falling into the weekend. Moderate snow will be falling by Friday afternoon with many ski resorts reporting 3-6 inches by last chair. Winds from the SW will bring slightly warmer temps Friday and snowfall favoring resorts like Snowbasin, Park City (PCMR versus Canyons side), Deer Valley, and most of Big Cottonwood Canyon (Brighton, Solitude). Nearby Alta and Snowbird may see less snow with the initial band of moisture on Friday.
Cooler temps Saturday and continued snowfall will be bring moderate snow to most areas through the day. The cooler temps may enhance snow totals especially late Friday night and early Saturday. Winds are still SW so resorts mentioned above may score the highest amounts, however all resorts in northern and central Utah will be earning some deeper turns Saturday. Expect double digits perhaps for 1st chair and continued snowfall during the day Saturday.
Snow showers continue Saturday night and Sunday with a wind shift to the west/northwest. While moisture is weaning on Saturday night it’s possible that lake effect flow kicks in for the Cottonwoods and produces another surprise dump for early Sunday morning. Thats the wildcard that will determine 3 day totals by late Sunday in the 2-3 feet range or 12-18 inches. The GFS model is producing 2-3 feet storm totals above 8,000 feet through Sunday especially in the Cottonwoods and areas north to the Idaho border. The slightly favored EURO is showing 9-15 inch storm totals with less in the northern Wasatch. I think it’s a safe bet to cut the differences into 15-22 inches through Sunday morning at many resorts in Utah (3 day totals).
Below: GFS Model for Utah through Sunday afternoon. Image: Weather Bell