30-70 CM OF SNOW FOR KICKING HORSE (1-2 FEET OF FRESHIES).
After an incredible week of snow to start the month, where over 90 CM of snow fell at Kicking Horse, the storm track is once again aimed directly at the Pacific Northwest. In the image below, you can see one storm after another crashing into the PNW, bringing several rounds of snow.
(image courtesy of Tropical Tidbits)
Over the next 7-10 days several storms will impact the Pacific Northwest and more specifically, Kicking Horse. These storms will come one after another, with little or no break in between. It will feel like it is snowing for 7 or 8 straight days with 12-24 hour bursts of moderate to heavy snow and light snow in between. Initially, the temperatures will be warmer than the last few days but should decrease as the storms become generally colder throughout the forecast period. By the end of next weekend, storm totals could be in the 30-60 CM PLUS range at higher elevations. We have moderate to high confidence for the first five days of the forecast, and less as we go beyond 5 days. Unlike the the storm in first week of November, where E/NE winds enhanced totals, winds will alternate during this period due to the slightly different storm track. However, the pattern is very active and looks to bring copious snowfall to Kicking Horse for the next 7-10 days. With over 200 cm of snow this year, and more to come this week, opening day December 8th is shaping up to be one of the best in years!
Storm #1 will linger off the coast for a bit before starting to head inland Sunday night, bringing rain and snow. Light snow may start as early as midday Sunday before intensifying overnight. Moderate to heavy snow will continue to fall until early Tuesday morning, where the snow will become light once again, after 10-20 CM.
Storm #2 will come right on the heels of #2. There may be a lull before moisture ahead of Storm #3 begins to move into interior British Columbia on Tuesday afternoon. As the storm stalls off the coast, moderate to heavy snow should persist until Wednesday evening. After another lull, the storm will begin to move inland bringing yet another round of moderate to heavy snow from Thursday afternoon to Friday Morning. This midweek event will result in additional 15-30 CM of snow, with possibly higher amounts at the summit.
Storm #3 looks to leave no time for recovery, possibly bringing more snow to interior British Columbia starting the following weekend. This could be another significant snowfall event, bringing 15-30 CM before winding down. Look at the total snowfall map for the next 9 days from the GFS below.
(image courtesy of Weatherbell)
After a short break in the action, there may be yet another storm. This a little beyond the confidence range though so we will have to hold off on additional details for now.
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