SNOW SHOWERS CONTINUE IN THE SIERRA WHILE SOME COLD AIR FINALLY MOVES INTO THE ROCKIES. SNOW IS LIKLEY FROM THE TETONS INTO THE WASATCH IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS
Summary 3/24/18. AM REPORT
Most of the cards played out well in the past few days with Aspen Highlands picking up 11 inches in the past 24 hours. Areas south towards Crested Butte also did well. I specified resorts west and south, but a bit surprised to see Vail at 10 inches. Beaver Creek does well with westerly winds and also scored double digits (Not surprised). Areas further east in Colorado saw less snow. The other hit was Crystal Mountain who scored dry powder yesterday (7-10 inches) that was on our forecast a few days ago. Mammoth is leading the pack in the Sierra with with 6 feet in the past 3 days! Mammoth has seen 11 feet at the base in the month of March! The summit might open today? The Rockies see one last round of snow today and Sunday favoring the Tetons and Wasatch. Colorado might get lucky along the Front Range on Monday night.
Short Term Forecast
Snow showers continue in the Sierra especially late Saturday into Sunday (4-7). Northern areas may be favored (Colder temps and good quality). Snow will increase in the Tetons today with 3-5 inches likely by 5PM. A brief break tonight migrates to an additional 2-5 inches Sunday into Monday (May end up being primarily early morning Sunday versus Saturday night).
The Wasatch wildcard is in my play for the weekend. Snow will increase on Sunday especially by afternoon where its likely light or moderate snow will have fallen over most of the Cottonwoods by 4PM. Models don’t seem too impressive to me however the folks at the National Weather Service in Salt Lake are a bit more bullish (Lets hope they are right). One area of interest is that models show much higher amounts possible near Logan Utah (Beaver Mountain) by late Sunday (6-10). Snow will continue in the Wasatch Sunday evening with Monday morning a potential wildcard for a powder day (Additional light or moderate snow). I am confident for snow totals in the Wasatch to exceed 6 inches but less confident on amounts exceeding 10 inches (Totals through Monday). Areas further north in Logan may be on the higher end. You may want to check ski reports by mid morning Sunday and decide if its worth the drive north before moving south for Monday morning. I may be completely wrong on this one! Park City resorts will see light to moderate amounts by Monday morning with colder temps. None of these leftovers are very moist, so the wildcard is orographics from cold air, better snow ratios and some hope for double digits (Most likely snow totals through Monday will be in the 4-9 inch range). I am really hoping the National Weather Service is right on this one (Has 8-14 for the Cottonwoods).
For Colorado, the system edges north of most ski areas until Monday afternoon and Tuesday morning. North winds should land some light or moderate snow to areas closest to the Front Range of Denver (Loveland Pass, Berthoud, Winter Park, Eldora).
Milder temps with snow levels at or slightly above the bases for the Cascades will prevail early next week. Moderate snowfall is likely above 4500 feet for many areas of Washington and Oregon. You may score good turns both Monday and Tuesday at upper elevations. The Rockies and Sierra fall into high pressure with the departing low over Colorado on Tuesday. High pressure will continue into much of next week.
Below: Ensembles for midweek in the west (time stamp Thursday morning).
The ensembles show a more active period beginning in the April 3-4 timeframe. This may favor northern areas.
Below: Ensembles for April 2nd as low pressure may enter the west.
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