WEATHER UPDATE OCTOBER 26
Latest models are now showing moderate snow for Montana Sunday Night/Monday with a further Western Track into Eastern Idaho, Northwest corner of Wyoming, and Utah. The low pressure system may set up over central Nevada by Monday and will likely bring decent snowfall to the Ruby Mountains. Some snowfall will reach as far west as the Eastern Sierra (2-5). The models are still not consistent on exact path into Utah and Colorado (Southern areas favored initially). Winds will be Southerly which might favor, Sundance, Park City and the Uinta Mountains (6-10) versus the Cottonwoods. The Cottonwoods will still see appreciable amounts at upper elevations esepecially near Brighton. The Tetons are still a wildcard and my confidence for heavier snow is primarily for the Western side of Teton Pass towards Targhee extending into Idaho.
COLORADO: Southwest winds prevail over Colorado initially on Tuesday night and Wednesday favoring Silverton, Wolf Creek, and Durango (5-10) Models show moderate amounts extending into Craig, Grand Junction, and perhaps Steamboat before a wind shift late Wednesday and Thursday from the Northwest. This will bring snowfall into I-70 and much colder temperatures (Aspen, Vail, Breckenridege, Loveland) Snowfall will be on the decrease rapidly behind the colder air by Thursday morning (4-8).
Overall confidence is still changing as models have flip flopped several times over the past few days. I am confident that this storm is taking a slower and more westerly track than previously expected.