POWDER ALERT COLORADO! 10-15 INCHES LIKELY TONIGHT WITH ADDITIONAL FEET OF SNOW FOR THE WEST IN THE LONG TERM OUTLOOK
March 18, 2018 PM report
The chase took me from the Sierra (100 inches in 7 days at Squaw- 75 inches at Kirkwood) where 3-4 straight days of powder migrated to the Wasatch on Saturday. I chased the storm back to Snowbird Sunday where closed terrain opened (Baldy was epic). The last day of my chase will take me to Colorado where the latest models have provided me higher confidence for a decent dump for Monday morning powder.
Short Term Forecast
Snow is falling over the I-70 corridor near Vail Pass as of 4:30 PM Sunday. It does not appear that more than an inch has accumulated thus far with web cams showing intensity increasing. The latest short term high resolution model has me believing double digits are likely tonight favoring eastern Eagle County (Beaver Creek, Vail) as well as many resorts closer to the front range of Denver. That might include Winter Park, Berthoud Pass, Loveland, Eldora, A-Basin and Keystone. Breckenridge may also see some magic kick in with the NW winds tonight.
Winds shift to the north late tonight after midnight moving higher moisture closer to the Continental Divide and the Front Range. 9-15 inches are possible at some resorts by mid morning Monday favoring spots north of I-70. I am also bullish for the I-70 corridor with 7-12 inches likely at many resorts along or south of the interstate. Vail Pass is also a likely spot to see double digits tonight including spots west towards Beaver Creek that are in my double digit range. Snow showers will continue on Monday decreasing in intensity by 3PM.
The Good: Current High Resolution model showing 9-15 inches tonight for the I-70 corridor (West or north of I-70). The Bad: The models I normally refer to for my 1-3 day forecasts are still showing 5-10 inches. Regardless, get ready to ski some powder for Monday and refer to the web cams, AM snow reports, and pick your destination wisely. I never pick my resort solely based on where my pass is! Its easy to do but the rewards for powder often outweigh the costs. I am confident that double digits will have fallen at many resorts in northern Colorado by 11 AM Monday.
Below: Short term high resolution model for Colorado through Monday mid morning. Lots of bright reds appearing in Eagle County as well as Boulder and Grand County.
A very moist system will enter California by mid week. Expect another 3-5 feet of high elevation snow (Warmer system initially) that eventually has lower snow levels by Thursday. That system should bring heavy snowfall to a wide area of the west. At this point Idaho, Wyoming, Utah, and certain spots in Montana may see the highest amounts. Colorado will also reap some decent rewards but its nearly a week out to forecast with confidence. We may be reporting “FEET” of snow by this time next week in many areas.
Hopefully I can hit the Trifecta tomorrow and score 3 States with double digits in 3 days.
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