Powder Alert

POWDER ALERT SIERRA/WASATCH, SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL COLORADO

I don’t usually pull the trigger on Powder Alerts this far out however as our season is winding down the excitement of just 1 more day on the slopes in the fresh so why not stir up the powder community with a decent guess of moderate and perhaps heavy snow over the Sierra and Wasatch late next week!   Snowbird and Alta had 15 inches yesterday and all between 4AM and Noon (Very light density on top of a variable ice layer).   

Light snow will cover the Sierra Tuesday/Wednesday (3-5) with a break in the action Thursday until a low pressure system that sits offshore moves in bringing a good chance of 7-10 inches (Perhaps more), into the Sierra Thursday night and Friday.  The Wasatch of Utah will start to see snow late Friday night continuing into Sunday morning. Snow intensity might not be heavy so total amounts will be a build up over the 2-3 days and reach decent proportions by Sunday morning.  Snow levels may also be fairly high on Southerly winds.  Colorado should see snow begin on Saturday which at this point seems to favor the Central and Southern Mountains however the maps depict a bulls-eye over Steamboat and areas West towards Meeker by Sunday?  Wind flow tells me that this is a wild-card so the chase will definitely change as we get closer!  I think the 4 corners is a safe bet for Colorado.

This whole plan could fall apart since we are still a week out but my gut tells me keep the boards handy and be ready to stab another day on thes slopes! My confidence level at this point is greater than 50%!

Early Chase ideas?    Friday- Sierra,  Saturday, Wasatch, Sunday- Wasatch and Southern Colorado, Monday- Colorado Central and North

Thanks to all that have donated towards the site however I am still quite a ways away from my web goals so at this point if you have some spare powder bucks to throw my way it will only go towards improving the site!

                   KEEP THE CHASE ALIVE

POWDERCHASER STEVE

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  1. PowderChasers

    We are planning our yearly trip, if you had to choose a state for a week in the West, which would you do? We go to Utah every year, my friends are talking about maybe changing it up to Washington. We usually go in February, but have tried march lately. Sorta like February better.

    With average conditions for February, and only 1 week, which would you choose: Washington or Utah?

  2. Hows Grand targhee looking this for this week? i was supposed to head out there from San Francisco yesterday but my flight got delayed (i hope because of heavy snowfall).
    Thanks for everything you do!

  3. I’m in utah and planning on heading up to Jackson or bridged bowl for the 27th-30th. What would be the better pick? And what are the chance good for a system to roll on? Just let me know!

    • Tough call. Moderate moisture will be moving into the Wasatch on the 28th. The Tetons and southern Montana seem better on the 27th but continue to show snow on the 28th. The key is wind direction. The storm next week looks like SW flow which is good for the Tetons. Bridger Bowl does best with NW flow. I am not sure about Big Sky. Bridger got 10 inches yesterday under NW flow where Big Sky got zip. If you need to leave Utah my pick would be Jackson. This way you can chase back easily if things look better for Utah. SW flow favors Big Cottonwood and Snowbasin

  4. Wow! Almost makes me wish I lived in Washington! ALMOST! I love all my Utah snow! I can’t wait for the next pow day over the Rockies… I just have to heal fast from this dislocated elbow and I’ll be back in all that white gold. LOVE IT, LIVE IT!

    • Right now the cold air moves back into Colorado Monday night or early Tuesday AM. I am thinking the powder love will fall over Steamboat by Tuesday AM, and extending down through Winter Park, Loveland and most of Summit County during the late morning. That snow will drop south into the Eastern or central San Juan’s by Tuesday night. I think the best snow might be up north so plan on skiing on Tuesday and again perhaps Wednesday depending on timing.

  5. Steve,

    I have a refundable ticket to Spokanne March 10 – 15. Was thinking of Red, Schweitzer, Silver…Models look like wasatch would be more favorable…Thoughts on where to go?

    best
    chris

    • I would hit the Wasatch this Tuesday. The only thing is that it wont be epic due to warm temps in the past several days, but 5-10 inches of snow will be likely. I would not chase long distance for this storm but if you have to use the ticket why not. Epic days are still to come but it might wait a week or two? Late March through April usually bring more good storms. One thing lacking this year has been cold air.

  6. Hi Steve – I have two weeks of free time starting March 16th. Do you have any suggestions on where to head. Are there any long range models forecasting snow during that time? Might be a bit too early, but I thought i’d ask. Thanks!

    • March 16-18 is the tail end of our model runs. Currently they show decent powder odds over the Tetons in Wyoming as well as most of Colorado. Big Sky is in the mix with slightly less amounts. We think the Wasatch in Utah will also see snow however the trend has been higher in Wyoming and Colorado

      • Thanks a lot. Hey another question. Thinking of a trip to Europe the 1st week of April only if things look good. Do you know of any good websites for powder forecasting in that area?, in English of course.

  7. Greetings powederchaser. Have a ticket for Spokane March 10 – 15. planning idaho – Silver and Schweitzer. Ticket is refundable/changeable…..where would you suggest heading for some deep stuff? looking warm and rainy most places. How is the wasatch looking

  8. Some snow likely Sunday night in the southern sections of Montana but a quick hitter! More snow likely Wednesday but bulk of moisture could be just south

    • I can run the models in the morning as I am headed back to CO right now from UT. I know the snow levels go to 7 or 8,000 feet however Silverton is so high that of all places to be that might be the best. I seem to remember the models showing most moisture over the north? The warm air might not impact Silverton as much as other spots especially north facing. We were there a few weeks ago and it was great.

      • I sincerely appreciate the reply. Your input definitely makes me feel a little better. Look forward to seeing the models and as always, thanks for everything you do for your followers.

  9. Plan for this weekend was driving from Portland OR to Whitewater, BC skiing 2/7-2/9. After reading your forecast I’m thinking about heading towards Targhee or N Wasatch Range. Good idea or other suggestion? Can’t make it to Durango in a weekend.

    • You wont be disappointed if you hit the Wasatch of Utah or Tetons beginning this Friday through next Tuesday. Please support Powderchasers if you get powder.

  10. Any idea how the East Coast might fair in this system? I have been running the GFS/NAM models as well as NCEP QPF and still uncertain of possible total snowfall. I have a trip planned this friday-sunday to Snow Shoe, WV and was wondering if you could provide any detailed information as to what we could expect. Thanks for your time and consideration.

  11. I’m conflicted – Chase to Steamboat tomorrow and Friday, or Winterpark tomorrow steamboat friday. NOAA’s WPC is calling for the epicenter to be over Steamboat tonight into tomorrow and even thursday evening but the 7 day forecast is calling for Winterpark to get hammered tonight into tomorrow with 12-20. WHAT SHOULD I DO?!

  12. Hey Steve, any moisture heading into Steamboat next week? Gonna visit my Son and was hoping for some Freshies. What do you think? going Jan 23-27

  13. Going to Whistler for 2 week starting 12th Jan ’14. Is there any chance of good snow before we arrive or during our stay. Other blogs are reporting terrible conditions. Thanks

  14. Hi Steve,

    Unfortunatlly, I’m an east coaster so I get excited over very little here. Was planning on doing a trip to VT next weekend but now with this storm coming in not sure. Do you have any favorable areas in NY region for this weekend? And is there any chance we get lucky next weekend as well?

    Many Thanks,
    Finn

    • I am not familiar with the resorts near Buffalo. If you live near VT or NH stick to resorts closer to the coast or south. I think everyone will see fresh but further south and east will be better. Perhaps mount snow?? Okemo? Or if near Maine Sunday River. MA resorts near Boston might be deeper but also less steep

    • Vail could potentially open the back bowls if this upcoming storm delivers, although the upcoming storm appears to have westerly winds which usually favors Beaver Creek and Steamboat. You can always check the new Blue Sky Basin snow cam daily at Vail.com if you want to see the most live up to date information.

  15. Hey Guys,
    Saw something brewing for whistler next week. Any thoughts on it so far? Looking to book a flight in the next few days for December 10-15. Thanks!

    • I just ran the models. Pull the trigger and dont forget to donate if you get powder? The models look good with decent storm December 11th-13th and another strong system on the 17th

        • Difficult. The 11th to 15th looks like periodic moisture perhaps favoring. WA versus BC but certainly in BC as well. It is a 4 day period of some snow. The storm on the 16th and 17 th looks stronger and further over BC,. That said I can’t really put tons of confidence on a model that far out, could you do 13 to 20

          • If can look again tomorrow? Can you buy tix on southwest to Seattle and avoid the change fees.. Cheaper flights to Seattle and u can chase WA as well

    • Hi Finn: The models show moisture beginning Thursday/Friday but unfortunately the cold air is in Canada. I am not optimistic for snow until December 9/10 (Monday/Tuesday) The models show colder air and moisture developing from southern New England and traveling up the coast. Let’s hope!

  16. ill be up in denver for a game next thursday…looking to hit up an area close to the city which area will be best? winter park eldora keystone etc?? CHeers!

  17. Steve, need your guidance! East coaster here flying into SLC with a buddy after after Thanksgiving (Saturday 11/30 for 4 days of skiing)and looking to find the best snow conditions. However, it now looks like the Cottonwoods will be bone dry for a while and currently not much of a base to speak of. Should we drive to Targhee? Currently looks like a good base but will be dry as well for the next ten days? Or should we cancel flight and head to Southwest Colorado? Wolfcreek looks like it has the goods with another storm after Thanksgiving on tap. Thanks!

    • I will respond in the AM as latest model runs will allow me to answer. Might be a storm at the end of the week. I do know that Grand Targhee is in good shape! There is a high end lodge (Super nice- 4-5 star) that is not expensive in the Winter in Victor Idaho 1/2 way to Jackson and only 20 minutes to Targhee. Do you need lodging? I know the manager there and we rate it highly.

      • Thanks for the input. Ended up re-routing my trip to Denver so we can hit Wolf Creek. Looks like we wont be getting any fresh pow (about par for the course for us east coasters) but I figure they have the best base in the US right now and better terrain than Targhee.

        • Another idea? Steamboat is only 3.5 hours from Denver and has more snow than ever for November. I would consider Steamboat right now seriously! closer than Wolf and will be in good shape.

          • Looks like Steamboat is reporting a 26inch base? Does not seem like that is enough coverage for off piste and tree skiing? One thing we like to avoid is groomers.

            Ofcourse, now after the flight has been changed to Denver Grand Targhee and Jackson Hole look like they get really deep. Probably would have been better to fly into SLC after all. Sigh…

        • The Wolf is fine. You can visit Durango for dinner and other things to do? My favorite two places in Durango are East By Southwest (Japanese and Thai cuisine) as well as a bakery outside of town called “Bread” MUST VISIT. Have you been to Wolf Creek? Nice area, a bit on the flat side, but decent short hike terrain. Snowmass is another option as they have decent snow as well and do a great job in grooming and snowmaking. Worth a consideration from Denver.

          • You can still keep options open. How long are you here for? The storm wont get to Targhee until Monday or Tuesday.
            Also, I heard from someone that Steamboat might open almost 100% of it’s terrain at the top including the trees. You might still consider if that is true. I hit the Wolf when others are not dumping. Wolf is FUN, flat, with some hike to steep terrain (Short steeps where we made the video) and gets a ton of snow. It is really one of the few family run resorts left in Colorado. Small lodge, good food, no lodging. Don’t expect steeps, lots of cruisers (Short), some trees, and short hike to steep terrain.

          • Thanks for the input. Never been to Wolf, part of the reason we want to go. Looks like good tree skiing and off piste, which is really all we are looking for.

    • CB should see some snow (2-5) however a bit north of the main action. I honestly see the southern san juan’s as much deeper but nevertheless some snow for CB but not deep. Please let us know.

    • hour and a half from bogus Basin,, when it dumps its awesome,, some seasons are great some average,, Brundage in Mccall is 3 hours from you,, awesome powder there!! Sun valley is 3 hours,l.. , Targee is 4.5 hours ,, jackson 5.5 hours,, not bad place to be overall,, Brundage is the best for the drive! Last season over 40 pow days at brundage for me!,, No Crowds by the way

    • I am bullish on the Tetons! NOAA is not. I would expect decent snowfall perhaps closer to Targhee with NW flow Friday night and Saturday. 7-12? JHMR less? Let me know if it comes true.

  18. Whats up guys?!?! How much do you think Mammoth will see this coming storm (next week)? And is it looking promising for Mammoth this season or still too early to say?

    Thanks a lot!!!

  19. Anyone ever skied dandelion seeds up to your waste? Powder so light and dry that you can see the color skis under a half inch riding up the lift. Half way between Salt Lake and Vegas this little gem resort is run by some great owners and it shows. Eagle Point Resort, Beaver Utah. Make sure you check it out. Don’t be surprised if you ski with AJ Kitt, Kenny Bott or other US Ski team members. But not during the up coming winter games as they will be in Russia coaching the current USA team.

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