It is this time of year when suddenly everyone starts thinking Snow Tires, Ski Gear, Passes, especially after places like Great Falls Montana went a record 46 days without any moisture (Rained in mid August), and got slammed with cold air and snow last Wednesday. Showdown Ski Area is reporting 4 inches fresh at the summit however if you turn north towards Glacier National Park you will see greater amounts of the 7-9 inch range that fell last Wednesday.
The Northwest and Sierra have not seen snow this season however both the Wasatch of Utah and many Colorado resorts have seen some teaser storms of 2-4 inches. If you just cant wait to put your gear on head out to the Northeast Plains of Colorado into Kansas as well as the Cheyenne Wyoming Foothills who recieved 4-6 inches last night.
I am more optimistic for near normal snowfall for the Sierra of California, Wasatch of Utah, and most of the Colorado mountains for this season and slightly above normal further south. In comparison to last year that is great news for many areas of the Central Rockies. The latest Climate data from October 2nd is showing even weaker El Nino than earlier models which will push moisture over a broader area of the West to include most of the Southern Sierra, Northern New Mexico, Central Sierra, Wasatch of Utah, and all areas of Colorado and Southern Wyoming. The trend for mid winter and beyond is for El Nino to weaken even further bringing more snow to the Northwest and Northern Rockies! The winter will be wetter for the Mid Atlantic region of the East Coast and into southern areas of New England and near normal precipitation for areas further north.
THE CHASE FOR THE NEXT WEEK AND BEYOND?
This is the first time I have used the Chase term this season in an attempt to motivate however don’t jump in the car just yet! Moisture (High elevation wet snow) will return to the Southern areas of Colorado, northern New Mexico, and Southern Utah late next week and into Central and Northern Colorado by next weekend. The models are showing a more active period starting in the extended with wet high elevation snow for the Sierra, and Wasatch in the October 16th time frame and even a stronger and much colder storm for the Northwest, Wyoming, Montana, Utah and Colorado in the October 21-23 time frame. At least we can keep our fingers crossed that the models hold some consistency but my odds are that by the 3rd week of October ski areas in many areas will have the boost that we have been waiting for!
Enjoy the Powder in the Northeast Plains of Colorado and Kansas and please post some powder video on the homepage or any comments or questions that you have for our loyal followers!