Summary  11/10/18

Light snow continues in New England late Saturday/Sunday with very cold temperatures kicking off some lake effect pow for the northern Green Mountains (Stowe, Jay Peak). Light snow in Montana/Wyoming moves into Colorado and New Mexico late Saturday/Sunday with upslope flow keeping chases closest to the Front Range Short Term Forecast Snow showers are continuing in northern New England  this morning with most ski areas in central New Hampshire/western Maine reporting 6 inches at mid elevations (Wildcat and Sunday River). Sugarbush is reporting 7 inches at mid mountain.  

There are higher amounts at the summits. Our original forecast was 0-8 inches (base to summit) so feel good about my previous forecast. Warmer air moved in as forecasted keeping lower elevation ski areas out of the loop. Many ski areas are not reporting this early in the season so its possible some higher amounts exist. Web cams at Sugarloaf show rain at the base and currently snowing at upper elevations. Below: Sugarbush Ski area snow cam Saturday morning.


Much colder air will move in late Saturday kicking off some lake effect snow for the northern Green Mountains (Stowe, Jay Peak). Its likely some low density 2-4 inches fall in these areas by Sunday morning.


Below: Le Masif de Charlefvoix in Quebec Saturday morning (22 CM Fresh) \"\" 

The next system in the Rockies drops down from Montana (currently snowing in most of central regions) into Colorado late Saturday evening.  A prolonged period of snow showers will be over the Denver Urban corridor Sunday with upslope (NE winds) pushing 4-8 inches into the eastern sections of Rocky Mountain National Park and Front Range Foothills. Eldora Mountain is likely to benefit with this wind direction.  Lighter amounts (2-5) are likely along the Divide near Loveland Ski and Berthoud Pass.  Light snow be falling from Summit County to Vail Pass (2-4) with the highest amounts the further east you travel.  Monarch likely grabs the middle road (3-6) and Wolf Creek in the lower spectrum (2-4).  Best time to ride powder will be Sunday as snow will be falling for much of the day.

Per the Open Snow- Colorado forecast here is a list of ski areas currently open. Arapahoe Basin - open every day Breckenridge - open every day Eldora - open every day Keystone - open every day Loveland - open every day Wolf Creek - open every day That system moves into New Mexico Sunday afternoon and Monday.  Light to moderate snow is likely at Taos with slightly higher amounts at Ski Santa Fe.  Most snow will be falling on the eastern flanks of the New Mexico Mountains with areas further west seeing less snow.  Taos is a wildcard for 3-7 inches with Santa Fe slightly higher.  Its possible some areas report higher amounts. NM continues to bring mystery to my forecast as I believe NW winds are ideal for Taos, with NE or East less favorable (The next system is N, NE).  Santa Fe may benefit more with NE winds than Taos? It's worth noting that the Texas Panhandle Is under a winter weather advisory for much colder temps and light to moderate snowfall (Could bring some good pics by Monday morning).  Any ski hills? Below: Total snowfall likely (highlighted lines are the mean averages) for Berthoud Pass showing a mean average of around 4-5 inches through late Sunday.


Extended Forecast

Snow showers continue Monday morning from Colorado to New Mexico. A few additional inches are likely over most of the Front Range Ski resorts near Denver (Light freshening) where higher amounts continue falling in NE New Mexico. New England grabs another 4-8 inches late Tuesday/Wednesday.  This event will be cold to start out (Snow at all elevations) with a warm front eventually changing lower elevations to mixed precipitation.  Very cold air followers this system for a changeover to light snow on the backside.  I expect some resorts will be reporting decent amounts by early Wednesday morning especially northern areas of New England. Ideal snow making will exist from mid to late next week. Below: warmer air is working into New England by mid-day Tuesday (Mixed precipitation at the bases and snow from mid and upper elevations)
Below: Colder temps exist Monday night into early Tuesday morning with snow falling at all elevations at the onset of precipitation.
Below: Total snowfall from Saturday to Wednesday morning for New England. Most snow will fall early Tuesday through Wednesday morning.  Significant snowfall is likely for Mount Washington and the highest peaks of New England.  Warming may limit amounts in some lower elevation resorts (Northern areas are favored).

Powderchaser Steve


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