Our Gold Sponsors

Powder Alert! 10-18 Inches- Some White Turkeys up north. San Juans Finally Score

Happy Thanksgiving!  This forecast will be an update from Wednesday's full post. The storm is underway in the northern Rockies with snow falling over Wyoming.  If you are looking for deep snow, we will highlight the deepest areas to focus on (Wyoming, Idaho, Utah, and Colorado updates). 

ANNOUNCEMENT: Please join our concierge program to support powderchasers. This program provides 1:1 forecasting, chase locations, and custom trip planning to get you in the deepest snow of the season. You can also donate on our website or purchase some swag to support us. 


Models are in good agreement with heavy bands of snowfall near Pomerelle Ski Area near Twin Falls, Burley. Snow will edge north with lighter totals near Sun Valley (The further south you travel from Hailey the higher the totals). Timing: Thursday PM to Friday AM. This might be chase-worthy areas by Friday morning. Amounts: 7-15 inches at upper elevations. 

Below: Southern Idaho near Twin Falls, and the Pomerelle Ski Area have consistently been bullish on the models for the past few days. The American model below shows less snow falling north over the Tetons with significant snow inland towards the central areas (Wind River Range extending south to the Laramie Range or north to Cody). In this model less snow was noted for the Tetons (Keep reading below). 

The Tetons are currently nabbing decent snow intensity under easterly flow pushing moisture from the interior areas of Wyoming (Deep snow will fall over the Wind River Range, and Absaroka Range (Interior). The short-term HRR models are more bullish than the deterministic models above leading me to cautiously uptick totals for the Tetons even though the pattern is not ideal (Below map). Low confidence in a solution for the Tetons. 

Below: There are indications of banded heavy snowfall over the Tetons on Thursday morning on the high-resolution model below. Amounts might end up higher than my original forecast. The deterministic models are less bullish. Wind direction from the N, N-East is not favorable for the ski areas. It's possible that 5-11 inches fall through Thursday night if you believe the short-term models.  As of 7 AM Turkey Day, 2 inches is noted on telemetry at JHMR with Teton Pass snow-packed. The west side of Teton Pass will see less snow. Valley locations around Jackson might grab 1-3 inches. There is some downside potential due to easterly winds and the bulk of moisture noted east or south of the Tetons. Short term high-res model below is more bullish (5-11) than the above GFS. We are going with 3-7. 

Below: Base of JHMR Gondola at 5 AM Thursday


In Utah, our forecast of 5-11 inches for the Cottonwoods is still on track for late Thursday night through Friday. SW flow during the bulk of precipitation favoring BCC with Sundance is worth a watch. The flow turns NW late Friday to Saturday which will keep light snow showers falling adding some super light-density fluff to what falls on Friday. Overall, this storm is cold with high quality. 3-7 inches are in the cards for the Park City area and areas north to Snowbasin (SW flow can sometimes be good for the Basin). Timing: Ride Friday as snow is still falling and getting deeper by early PM. Saturday will add some additional light accumulation fluff with NW flow. Moisture totals in the Wasatch are around 1/2 to 3/4 inch (8-14 inches). The exact track and when the winds shift to the NW will determine the upside and downside of this storm. I am confident for 5-10 inches for the Cottonwoods. BCC might over-perform. 

Below: U of U modeling based on the GFS only shows a total of around 10 inches for the Cottonwoods by Friday night. 


For Colorado, we have good confidence in significant totals for the southern San Juan Range on Friday/Saturday.  12-18 inches are likely for Wolf Creek and 8-12 for Purgatory, Red Mountain Pass, and perhaps Silverton. Telluride sits just north of the highest totals.  Areas north towards Grand Junction and Powderhorn may also score decent totals (5-11).

Aspen, Crested Butte, and Monarch would be our next picks on the list with moderate snow. Some models show heavy snowfall for the Salida area that might skirt west toward Monarch Pass.

Summit County will likely sit in an area just west or north of the highest snowfall (Lower confidence). 

In the Front Range, I am optimistic for 4-10 inches for the northern Foothills near Boulder and Fort Collins. RMNP, Nederland, and Eldora Ski Area would be on a shortlist. Timing: Late Thursday night peaking from early AM Friday to 3 PM. Caveat: Easterly winds will really favor the foothills as snow moves along the spine of the foothills. Much less snow will fall east towards I-25. It's also possible that less snow makes its way up to the higher elevations near the Ski areas. 

Below U.of U modeling for Wolf Creek Pass shows a wide variety of solutions from 10-30 inches of snow. There is low confidence in this map (Widely spaced lines) but it is likely that significant snowfall lands here.

Below: Here is a likely scenario based on the European Model for total snowfall through Friday night. Aim to chase in the northern Foothills, Western corridor near Grand Junction extending south to the Southern San Juan Range. Central areas from Aspen, CB, and Monarch are wildcard picks. 

Please follow my passion for photography, world travel, and powder on Instagram @powderchasersteve

If you read this far please please join our concierge program to support us.  This program provides 1:1 forecasting, chase locations, and custom trip planning to get you in the deepest snow of the season. You can also donate on our website or purchase some swag to support us. Anything helps us keep the forecasts going. ANY DONATIONS OF $50 GET YOUR FREE STICKERS AND $100 GETS YOU A FREE SHIRT. 


Thanks for following Powderchasers 

Powderchaser Steve 




Thank you so much, we couldn't do what we do with support from our readers.

Support our work
click here to donate

Our expertise gets you direct contact with our weather team to boost your next powder chases. From 2 to 14 chases, pick the concierge package that satisfies your powder hound!

  • Minute-to-minute snow + weather data
  • Tips + hacks on how to score first chair + where to park, stage + eat
  • Direct access to our Powederchasers
  • Sweet merchandise

POWDERCHASERS PASS OPTIONS - Buy + Save 10% on Concierge Trip Planning Packages


View all




eco friendly ski/snowboard wax

Purl Wax

Purl Wax creates eco-friendly ski wax and snowboard wax with superior speed and durability. Biodegradable | No PFC's | No Toxic Chemicals | Made in the USA ...


Skis.com is a family owned company that has been in the ski industry for more than 50 years! Skis.com is a one stop shop online retailer for all your ski equipment and clothing needs!

Alaska Backcountry Guides

Alaska Backcountry Guides

Alaska Backcountry Guides, is a team of dedicated industry veterans. We offer semi-private and private heliski/snowboard trips in the heart of the Chugach mountains. With a maximum of 2 groups per helicopter, we are more nimble to explore the endless terrain that is at our doorstep, and you will never be waiting for the helicopter to take your next run. Alaska is known for its steep terrain, but we have plenty of intermediate terrain as well, and are able to cater to a range of ability levels. These trips are designed with the pandemic era in mind; we have private lodging, a personal chef, regular covid testing for staff/guides/guests, and small group riding to ensure an intimate and safe experience.

Beaver Mountain Ski Area

Beaver Mountain Ski Area

Beaver Mountain Ski Area has been family owned and operated for 81 years. Located in northern Utah we receive that great Utah powder. A great ski and snowboard experience without the prices or crowds of the big resorts.

Unofficial Networks

Unofficial Networks

In 2010, UnofficialNetworks.com was launched to cover the global ski scene with the rollout of local reporters in ski towns across North America. Since that time, the website has recorded hundreds of millions of sessions and has been linked to by numerous publications including the New York Times, Wall Street Journal, The San Francisco Chronicle, and ESPN.

Indy Pass

Indy Pass

Chase powder to over 120 uncrowded, authentic destinations across the globe that offer you two ski days at each destination. 23/24 pass sales currently on hold!



TireRack.com is Powderchasers’ preferred tire supplier and their tires get us to the powder every single time. They’re America’s largest independent tire tester and consumer-direct source for tires, wheels and performance accessories.

This year, they’re making winter tire and wheel shopping even easier with their new Recommended Package feature. All you have to do is tell them a little bit about your vehicle, and they’ll automatically create a winter package for you. Find your Recommended Package.

Selkirk Powder

Selkirk Powder

Selkirk Powder provides cat, self-propelled, and snowmobile-assisted alpine ski excursions and guided snowmobile tours. A verified outfitter of Polaris Adventures, AIARE avalanche education Provider. With license and permits covering over 200,000 acres of the rugged and beautiful Selkirk Mountain range, SPC conveniently operates at Schweitzer in Sandpoint Idaho. Email Selkirk,;Call the Selkirk Reservation Line, and follow them on Instagram

The Mountain Collective

The Mountain Collective

The Mountain Collective™ boasts 24 dream ski destinations across the globe.

The pass includes two days of skiing or riding with no blackout dates at each of the 23 partners (46 total days), 50 percent discount on all additional days.


View all